Shri Nakoda International Import · Export · Est. India

Market Intelligence

Research & Analysis Desk

Live price trends, import-export statistics and country-level demand insight to support informed trade decisions. Updated weekly by our in-house desk.

Price Trend (Toor) — 6 Months ₹8,050 ▲ 2.45%
Import Trend 128.5K MT ▲ 8.3%
Top Importing Countries UAE 28% · Bangladesh 22% · Sri Lanka 18% · Nepal 12% · Others 20%
Commodity & Price Trend Research Demand & Supply Analysis Shipment & Port Analysis Import / Export Statistics Government Policy Tracking Weather Impact & Forecasts

Commodity & Price Trend Research

Six-month price movement, tracked commodity by commodity.

Directional price bands for our core traded commodities, refreshed weekly by the desk against mandi, exchange and export benchmarks.

Commodity6M Open6M High6M LowCurrent6M Change
Toor (Pigeon Peas)₹7,650/qtl₹8,200/qtl₹7,400/qtl₹8,050/qtl▲ 2.45%
Yellow Peas₹4,050/qtl₹4,180/qtl₹3,780/qtl₹3,850/qtl▼ 4.94%
Urad (Black Matpe)₹8,700/qtl₹9,250/qtl₹8,550/qtl₹9,100/qtl▲ 4.60%
Masoor (Lentils)₹7,050/qtl₹7,120/qtl₹6,600/qtl₹6,750/qtl▼ 4.26%
Kabuli Chana₹8,400/qtl₹9,050/qtl₹8,300/qtl₹8,900/qtl▲ 5.95%
Desi Chana₹5,150/qtl₹5,480/qtl₹5,050/qtl₹5,400/qtl▲ 4.85%
Soyabean₹4,950/qtl₹5,020/qtl₹4,650/qtl₹4,750/qtl▼ 4.04%
Gwar Seed₹5,400/qtl₹6,100/qtl₹5,300/qtl₹5,850/qtl▲ 8.33%

Data & Resources

  • Agmarknet — Government of India mandi price bulletins
  • NCDEX & national commodity exchange settlement data
  • ITC Trade Map — international reference pricing
  • USDA PSD Online — global production, supply & distribution
  • Our internal weekly desk report (available on request)

How to read this table

"6M Open/High/Low" mark the trading range over the trailing six months; "Current" is the latest desk-quoted price; "6M Change" compares current price to the 6M open. Use this alongside the Demand & Supply Analysis below before placing forward contracts.

Prices shown are indicative desk estimates for directional planning, not live exchange quotes. Confirm firm pricing with our trade desk before contracting.

Demand & Supply Analysis

Product-wise supply, demand & SWOT analysis.

Category deep-dive: where each commodity is grown, who buys it, and the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats shaping trade flow.

Supply Overview — Toor (Pigeon Peas)

Supply Side

Global output concentrated in India, Myanmar and East/Southern Africa (Sudan, Tanzania, Mozambique, Kenya). African-origin volumes have expanded steadily as India encourages diversified sourcing to buffer domestic shortfalls.

Demand Side

India remains the dominant global buyer, absorbing the bulk of tradable surplus to meet its own dal consumption; secondary demand comes from the Indian diaspora markets in the Gulf, UK and North America.

Strengths

  • Wide origin base reduces single-country dependency
  • Strong, inelastic staple-food demand in India
  • Established India–Africa trade corridors

Weaknesses

  • Africa-origin quality/moisture variability season to season
  • Long shipping lead times from East Africa
  • Price highly sensitive to India's domestic crop size

Opportunities

  • Government-to-government MoUs boosting African acreage
  • Rising African production capacity (Mozambique, Malawi belt)
  • Value-added processing (split/polished) at origin

Threats

  • Erratic rainfall in African growing belts
  • India import-duty/quota policy shifts
  • Currency volatility on African origin contracts

Supply Overview — Chickpeas

Supply Side

Australia and Russia lead Kabuli-grade output, with Sudan and Tanzania supplying Desi-grade volumes; India remains a major producer for domestic consumption.

Demand Side

Steady demand from South Asia, the Middle East and Mediterranean food-processing markets, with Kabuli chana also drawing retail and hummus-manufacturing buyers globally.

Strengths

  • Dual demand base — staple food and processed food
  • Multiple large-scale origin countries

Weaknesses

  • Kabuli-grade quality highly weather-dependent
  • Freight costs sensitive from Australian origin

Opportunities

  • Growing plant-protein and hummus demand in the West
  • Expansion of Desi-grade processing in Africa

Threats

  • Drought risk in key Australian growing regions
  • Competing claims on Russian export volume

Supply Overview — Black Matpe (Urad)

Supply Side

Myanmar remains the dominant exporter of SQ and FAQ grades, with Brazil emerging as a secondary origin for Brazil Urad.

Demand Side

India is the principal buyer for dal and papad manufacturing, with steady secondary demand from South Asian diaspora markets.

Strengths

  • Established Myanmar–India trade corridor
  • High-value staple with consistent demand

Weaknesses

  • Heavy reliance on a single dominant origin
  • Grade variability between SQ and FAQ lots

Opportunities

  • Brazil-origin supply diversification
  • Processed/split Urad value addition

Threats

  • Myanmar export-policy and logistics disruption risk
  • India duty structure changes

Supply Overview — Lentils (Masoor)

Supply Side

Canada and Australia dominate global Masoor exports, supplying both Nipper and Crimson varieties at scale.

Demand Side

India and the Middle East account for the bulk of import demand, with growing interest from Western plant-protein markets.

Strengths

  • Reliable, large-scale exporters (Canada, Australia)
  • Rising Western demand for plant protein

Weaknesses

  • Long freight distance to Asian buyers
  • Variety preference differs sharply by market

Opportunities

  • Growth in packaged/retail lentil formats
  • New buyer markets in Africa

Threats

  • Canadian crop-yield volatility
  • Freight rate swings on long-haul routes

Supply Overview — Yellow Peas

Supply Side

Russia, Ukraine, Argentina and Canada form the four major origin sub-categories, with Black Sea supply increasingly price-competitive.

Demand Side

Demand spans milling for dal substitution in India, animal feed globally, and rising pea-protein extraction in Europe and North America.

Strengths

  • Multiple competitive origins keep pricing efficient
  • Diversified end-use (food, feed, protein)

Weaknesses

  • Exposure to Black Sea geopolitical risk
  • Feed-grade demand highly price-sensitive

Opportunities

  • Expanding pea-protein extraction industry
  • Canadian supply as a geopolitical hedge

Threats

  • Black Sea shipping and export disruption
  • Substitution risk from other feed pulses

Supply Overview — Soyabean

Supply Side

Brazil and Argentina anchor global volume, with East and West African origins (Mozambique, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Nigeria, Togo) growing as regional suppliers.

Demand Side

Crushing industries for edible oil and animal feed drive the bulk of demand, concentrated in Asia and increasingly in African domestic markets.

Strengths

  • Massive, well-established South American supply base
  • Deep, liquid global reference pricing

Weaknesses

  • African origin volumes still comparatively small
  • High sensitivity to South American harvest weather

Opportunities

  • Growing African crushing-capacity investment
  • Rising regional feed-industry demand in Africa

Threats

  • South American weather and logistics disruption
  • Global trade-policy shifts affecting soy flows

Supply Overview — Gwar Gum / Gwar Seed

Supply Side

India — primarily Rajasthan — is the world's dominant producer of gwar seed, split and powder grades.

Demand Side

Demand is driven by oilfield fracturing fluids, food-grade thickening applications and textile sizing, concentrated in North America and industrial Asia.

Strengths

  • India's near-monopoly on global supply
  • High-value industrial demand base

Weaknesses

  • Price heavily tied to oilfield drilling activity cycles
  • Rainfall-dependent Rajasthan crop

Opportunities

  • Food and pharma-grade powder demand growth
  • Value-added processing for export

Threats

  • Global drilling slowdown reducing oilfield demand
  • Monsoon variability in growing region

Figures and analysis shown are indicative desk estimates for illustration and directional planning, not audited trade statistics. Connect a live trade-data feed for production use.

Shipment & Port Analysis

The ports and lanes behind every consignment.

Origin loading ports, destination discharge ports and typical transit windows we plan shipments around.

PortRoleTypical TransitContainer Availability
Mundra (India)Primary export gateway—Good, regular sailings
Nhava Sheva / JNPT (India)Primary export gateway—Good, high frequency
Kandla (India)Bulk & break-bulk export—Moderate
Beira / Nacala (Mozambique)Toor / Soyabean origin18–24 days to IndiaSeasonal, tightens at harvest peak
Dar es Salaam (Tanzania)Toor / Chickpea origin16–20 days to IndiaModerate
Yangon (Myanmar)Urad origin6–9 days to IndiaGood
Santos (Brazil)Soyabean / Urad origin28–35 days to IndiaGood, high volume lane
Jebel Ali (UAE)Re-export & destination hub3–5 days from IndiaGood

Transit times are typical ranges under normal conditions and vary with vessel schedules, congestion and weather. Confirm current sailing schedules with our logistics desk before booking.

Import / Export Statistics

Where volumes move, and how they're shifting.

Annual trade volume snapshots for our core commodities, tracked against the prior year.

CommodityIndia Import Volume (Annual)Top OriginYoY Change
Toor (Pigeon Peas)~7.5 lakh MTMozambique / Myanmar▲ 6.2%
Urad (Black Matpe)~4.1 lakh MTMyanmar▼ 3.1%
Yellow Peas~22 lakh MTRussia / Canada▲ 11.4%
Masoor (Lentils)~9 lakh MTCanada / Australia▼ 2.8%
Kabuli Chana~2.6 lakh MTAustralia / Turkey▲ 4.0%
Soyabean~1.2 lakh MTBrazil / Argentina▲ 9.7%

Data Sources

  • DGFT (India) — Directorate General of Foreign Trade export/import data
  • DGCIS — Directorate General of Commercial Intelligence & Statistics
  • UN Comtrade — global bilateral trade statistics
  • ITC Trade Map — tariff & trade flow analytics

Buyer Distribution — Toor Dal

UAE28%
Bangladesh22%
Sri Lanka18%
Nepal12%
Others20%

Volumes are rounded, indicative annual estimates for directional planning, not official customs figures.

Government Policy Tracking

Duties, quotas and notifications, watched weekly.

Import policy shifts move pulses and oilseed pricing faster than almost any other factor — our desk tracks notifications as they're issued.

CommodityImport Duty StatusQuota / RestrictionTracking Note
Toor (Pigeon Peas)Free import (illustrative)None currently appliedWatch for extension/removal notifications
Urad / MoongFree import (illustrative)Periodically stock-limit linkedMonitor stock-holding order updates
Yellow PeasDuty-variable by notificationHistorically quota-linkedHigh policy sensitivity — check before contracting
Chana (Desi / Kabuli)Duty-variable by notificationNone currently appliedWatch MSP-linked procurement announcements
Gwar SeedStandard dutyNoneLow policy sensitivity

Duty and quota figures shown are illustrative placeholders, not current customs notifications, and this is not customs or legal advice. Import duties and quotas change by government notification, often with immediate effect — always verify current status with DGFT or your customs broker before contracting.

Weather Impact & Forecasts

The weather behind the harvest.

Rainfall and season outlook across our key growing belts — the single biggest swing factor on next season's supply.

Growing RegionCommoditySeasonCurrent Outlook
Southern & Central IndiaToor, Chana, MoongKharif / RabiNear-normal monsoon (illustrative)
Sudan / Tanzania / MozambiqueToor, Chickpeas, SoyabeanMain seasonWatch — rainfall variability typical
Prairie belt, CanadaMasoor, Yellow PeasSpring-sownFavourable soil moisture (illustrative)
Myanmar deltaUradMonsoon-dependentNormal monsoon progression
Rajasthan, IndiaGwar SeedKharifRainfall-sensitive — monitor closely

Resources

  • India Meteorological Department (IMD) — monsoon & seasonal outlook
  • NOAA Climate Prediction Center — ENSO / El Niño-La Niña outlook
  • FAO GIEWS — country-level weather & crop condition briefs
  • WMO seasonal climate updates — global outlook synthesis

Why this matters

A weak or delayed monsoon in India, or dry spells across the African growing belts, typically shows up in Toor and Chana prices within weeks. We track seasonal outlooks alongside sowing progress to flag price risk early.

Outlook notes are illustrative desk commentary, not meteorological forecasts. Refer to IMD or NOAA directly for official seasonal forecasts.

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